Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.