Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
3 - 2
Stal Mielec

Tejan (7'), Hoti (21'), Pirulo (45+1')
Pirulo (38'), Mammadov (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Shkurin (68' pen.), Wolsztynski (88')
Gerstenstein (85')
Ehmann (20')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 LKS Lodz
Monday, May 20 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LKS Lodz would win this match.

Result
LKS LodzDrawStal Mielec
38.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.58% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.43% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)22.37% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03)55.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 38.29%
    Stal Mielec 37.47%
    Draw 24.24%
LKS LodzDrawStal Mielec
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 17
Stal Mielec
1-0
LKS Lodz
Shkurin (27')
Pingot (40'), Shkurin (70')
Pingot (90+1')

Balic (69'), Durmisi (70'), Durmisi (73')