Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
1 - 2
Korona Kielce

Ishak (45+3')
Ishak (5'), Karlstrom (46'), Murawski (58'), Velde (71'), Milic (87'), Mrozek (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schikavko (57', 65')
Krogstad (10'), Podgorski (44'), Hofmeister (70'), Kwiecien (87'), Dalmau (87'), Trojak (90+1'), Fornalczyk (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, May 18 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawKorona Kielce
52.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)24.5% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)23.05% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)50.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)50.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)36.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65%73.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 52.45%
    Korona Kielce 23.05%
    Draw 24.5%
Lech PoznanDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.05%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Korona Kielce
0-1
Lech Poznan

Nono (88')
Velde (86')
Douglas (14'), van den Brom (15'), Gholizadeh (38'), Hotic (84')