Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
2 - 0
Ruch Chorzow

Dadok (42' og.), Schikavko (75')
Remacle (45'), Kwiecien (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vlkanova (5'), Szczepan (34')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Ruch Chorzow
Monday, May 13 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.

Result
Korona KielceDrawRuch Chorzow
48.12% (-0.689 -0.69)24.98% (0.311 0.31)26.89% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 53.57% (-0.686 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (-1.049 -1.05)49.23% (1.046 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.953 -0.95)71.29% (0.95100000000001 0.95)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.708 -0.71)20.49% (0.705 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-1.133 -1.13)52.97% (1.131 1.13)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.262 -0.26)32.62% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83% (-0.291 -0.29)69.16% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 48.12%
    Ruch Chorzow 26.89%
    Draw 24.98%
Korona KielceDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.12%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 26.89%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Ruch Chorzow
1-1
Korona Kielce
Szczepan (49')
Sadlok (46'), Foszmanczyk (82')
Trojak (90+3')
Blanik (23'), Hofmeister (80')