Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Ruch Chorzow
2 - 1
Lech Poznan

Szczepan (24'), Feliks (84')
Sadlok (14'), Feliks (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ishak (27' pen.)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Ruch Chorzow and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-3 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Ruch ChorzowDrawLech Poznan
30.31% (-0.312 -0.31)26% (0.077999999999999 0.08)43.69% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.398 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (-0.447 -0.45)51.55% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (-0.39 -0.39)73.35% (0.387 0.39)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.447 -0.45)31.28% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-0.523 -0.52)67.63% (0.521 0.52)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)23.47% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.118 -0.12)57.49% (0.115 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ruch Chorzow 30.31%
    Lech Poznan 43.69%
    Draw 26%
Ruch ChorzowDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 30.31%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.69%

How you voted: Ruch Chorzow vs Lech Poznan

Ruch Chorzow
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Lech Poznan
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
Lech Poznan
2-0
Ruch Chorzow
Ishak (36'), Velde (53')

Michalski (7'), Kozak (68')