Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1

Jul 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
2 - 0
Gornik

Ishak (32' pen.), Hotic (90+4')
Gholizadeh (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Janicki (45+2'), Sanchez Garcia (50')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Gornik
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
52.1% ( -0.5)	23.54% ( -0.03)	24.36% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

0.66)

45.09% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57% (

0.63)

67.43% (

-0.63)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

0.06)

17.31% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.33% (

0.11)

47.67% (

-0.11)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

0.81)

32.46% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.91)

68.99% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 52.1%

Gornik Zabrze 24.36%

Draw 23.53%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Gornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.1%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.36%