Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
1 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Kapralik (36')
Janza (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bartosz (79')
Firlej (90+1'), Jin-hyun (90+2'), Majchrzak (90+3')
Thiago (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, May 11 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Warta Poznan
Sunday, May 12 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
54.6% (0.167 0.17)23.44% (0.302 0.3)21.97% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-1.602 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-1.829 -1.83)47.18% (1.831 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (-1.723 -1.72)69.41% (1.726 1.73)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-0.599 -0.6)17.17% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (-1.07 -1.07)47.42% (1.073 1.07)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (-1.458 -1.46)35.77% (1.461 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (-1.532 -1.53)72.54% (1.535 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 54.6%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 21.97%
    Draw 23.44%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.349 0.35)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.458 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.97%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 16
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-1
Gornik
Mrozinski (54'), Siemaszko (71')
Bartosz (24'), Yakuba (28'), Hajda (36'), Craciun (73'), Cichon (86'), Poczobut (90+4')
Yokota (45' pen.)
Nascimento (90+4')