Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Gornik

Wedrychowski (67')
Cojocaru (23'), Zech (27'), Gorgon (45+2'), Ulvestad (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Triantafyllopoulos (30'), Podolski (70'), Janza (90+3'), Szczesniak (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, May 17 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, May 17 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 63.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Gornik Zabrze win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawGornik Zabrze
63.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)17.39% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 59.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)35.71% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.22% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)10.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (0.022000000000006 0.02)34.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)33.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (0.025000000000002 0.03)70.44% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 63.16%
    Gornik Zabrze 17.39%
    Draw 19.45%
Pogon SzczecinDrawGornik Zabrze
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 63.16%
1-1 @ 8.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 17.39%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Gornik
1-0
Szczecin
Ennali (5')
Janza (70'), Sekulic (88'), Musiolik (90+2'), Lukoszek (90+4')
Janza (70')

Zech (20'), Bichakhchyan (41')