Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Akademija Pandev had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Akademija Pandev win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lechia Gdansk would win this match.