Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.