Polish Ekstraklasa
Gameweek
1
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-
Sebastian Rudol
45'
-
Ante Crnac
32'
-
Adriano
37'
-
Bogdan Racovitan
76'
-
Ante Crnac
82'
-
Dawid Drachal
87'
Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
Result
Motor Lublin
22.6%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
23.76%
▼
(-0.35)
Rakow Czestochowa
53.64%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
53.01%
▲
(+1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.16%
▲
(+1.40)
Under 2.5
47.84%
▼
(-1.39)
Over 3.5
29.98%
▲
(+1.28)
Under 3.5
70.02%
▼
(-1.27)
Over 4.5
14.65%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 4.5
85.35%
▼
(-0.87)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5
64.46%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 0.5
35.54%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 1.5
27.69%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 1.5
72.31%
▼
(-0.75)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5
82.24%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 0.5
17.76%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
51.55%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 1.5
48.45%
▼
(-1.14)
Score analysis
Motor Lublin
22.6%
Draw
23.76%
Rakow Czestochowa
53.63%
Motor Lublin
1-0
@
6.53%
▼
(-0.25)
2-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.6%
2-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.6%
Draw
1-1
@
11.28%
▼
(-0.19)
0-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-92.70)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
0-0 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-92.70)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1
@
10.9%
▼
(-0.41)
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.14)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.63%
1-2 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 9.43% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.14)
1-4 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.63%