Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Slavutych-Arena
Rakow

Motor Lublin
0 - 2
Rakow


Rudol (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Crnac (32'), Drachal (87')
Adriano (37'), Racovitan (76'), Crnac (82')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-2 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, May 25 at 5.20pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 1-0 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawRakow Czestochowa
22.6% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)23.76% (-0.344 -0.34)53.64% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Both teams to score 53.01% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (1.397 1.4)47.84% (-1.387 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (1.274 1.27)70.02% (-1.263 -1.26)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.739 0.74)35.54% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.754 0.75)72.31% (-0.745 -0.75)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24% (0.676 0.68)17.76% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55% (1.146 1.15)48.45% (-1.136 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 22.6%
    Rakow Czestochowa 53.63%
    Draw 23.76%
Motor LublinDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 6.53% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-1 @ 5.84% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.6%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.43% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.62% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 5.43% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.134 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 2.35% (0.067 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.63%