Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 0
Widzew Lodz

Bichakhchyan (21'), Lukasiak (72')
Gorgon (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, August 10 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, August 11 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
53.22% (-0.505 -0.5)23.24% (0.261 0.26)23.54% (0.244 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (-0.897 -0.9)44.59% (0.898 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (-0.873 -0.87)66.96% (0.874 0.87)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (-0.5 -0.5)16.72% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (-0.906 -0.91)46.63% (0.907 0.91)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.28 -0.28)32.9% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.311 -0.31)69.48% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 53.22%
    Widzew Lodz 23.54%
    Draw 23.23%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.216 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.22%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.189 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.54%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Widzew Lodz
1-2
Szczecin
Alvarez (43')
Silva (10'), Kwiatkowski (62')
Grosicki (45+2'), Koulouris (52')
Gorgon (41'), Wahlqvist (44')
Jul 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Szczecin
2-1
Widzew Lodz
Zahovic (46'), Koulouris (64')
Koutris (37')
Pawlowski (4')
Nunes (43')