Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.