Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
3 - 4
Zaglebie Lubin

Goncalves (51'), Grzesik (74'), Abramowicz (86')
Luizao (29'), Vuskovic (61'), Cichocki (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Kurminowski (20', 39', 53'), Lawniczak (30')
Mroz (29'), Kopacz (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Radomiak Radom

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 4-0 Radomiak Radom
Friday, April 19 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zaglebie Lubin would win this match.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawZaglebie Lubin
35.49% (0.511 0.51)26.8% (0.093999999999998 0.09)37.71% (-0.604 -0.6)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.339 -0.34)53.59% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.9% (-0.288 -0.29)75.09% (0.288 0.29)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.149 0.15)28.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.184 0.18)64.75% (-0.18400000000001 -0.18)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.506 -0.51)27.56% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93% (-0.655 -0.66)63.07% (0.655 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 35.49%
    Zaglebie Lubin 37.7%
    Draw 26.8%
Radomiak RadomDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.7%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 13
Zaglebie Lubin
2-3
Radomiak Radom
Dabrowski (72'), Wdowiak (77')
Kludka (51'), Poletanovic (68')
Semedo (1', 78'), Henrique (15')
Cestor (24'), Kaput (36'), Donis (89')