Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.