Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1

Jul 20, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 0
Zaglebie Lubin

Augustyniak (86'), Luquinhas (90+3')
Ziolkowski (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nalepa (52')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Last Game: Legia 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions

Last Game: Legia 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
46.6% ( -0.04)	24.54% ( -0.04)	28.86% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

0.22)

46.04% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

0.21)

68.34% (

-0.2)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

0.07)

19.85% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

0.12)

51.94% (

-0.11)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

0.17)

29.49% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

0.2)

65.5% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 46.6%

Zaglebie Lubin 28.86%

Draw 24.53%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Zaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.6%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.86%