Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 10, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Stal Mielec

Gorgon (85')
Ulvestad (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guillaumier (17'), Gerbowski (30'), Wolkowicz (57'), Shkurin (74')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 1-0 Szczecin
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, August 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Stal Mielec has a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Stal Mielec win it is 0-1 (4.53%).

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawStal Mielec
64.31% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)20.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.63% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.83% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)41.97% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.37% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)12.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.84% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)38.15% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)39.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-0.012 -0.01)76.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 64.31%
    Stal Mielec 15.63%
    Draw 20.05%
Pogon SzczecinDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.05%
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.63%

Head to Head
May 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Stal Mielec
0-0
Szczecin
Shkurin (82')
Loncar (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Szczecin
2-3
Stal Mielec
Bichakhchyan (21'), Koulouris (27')
Shkurin (6', 55', 84')
Ehmann (42')