Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 27, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
0 - 1
Katowice

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jedrych (31' pen.)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Monday, July 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 3-1 Unia Turza Slaska
Sunday, July 21 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawKatowice
44.06% (-0.218 -0.22)26.17% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)29.77% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.158 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.148 0.15)52.46% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.125 0.13)74.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.69% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)57.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.242 0.24)32.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.277 0.28)68.61% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 44.06%
    Katowice 29.77%
    Draw 26.16%
Stal MielecDrawKatowice
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.77%