MX23RW : Tuesday, September 10 03:10:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Pululu (24'), Imaz (66')
Pululu (31'), Nguiamba (44'), Marczuk (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gerbowski (66')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Panevezys
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
60.39% (-0.311 -0.31) 21.71% (0.209 0.21) 17.9% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.46 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.72 -0.72)45.26% (0.725 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.693 -0.69)67.6% (0.69799999999999 0.7)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)14.54% (0.336 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.42% (-0.647 -0.65)42.58% (0.653 0.65)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.07% (-0.298 -0.3)38.93% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.283 -0.28)75.65% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 60.39%
    Stal Mielec 17.9%
    Draw 21.7%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.39%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.9%

Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
Stal Mielec
3-2
Jagiellonia
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
Nene (12'), Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Jagiellonia
4-0
Stal Mielec
Normann Hansen (19'), Wdowik (23' pen., 83'), Matras (79' og.)
Marczuk (50')

Santos (58'), Esselink (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Jets
@
49ers
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan7511113816
2Legia WarsawLegia7421168814
3Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice742196314
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin7412138513
5KS CracoviaCracovia74121310313
6Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia6402119212
7Rakow CzestochowaRakow732253211
8Widzew Lodz732298111
9Katowice72237708
10Gornik ZabrzeGornik7223911-28
11Zaglebie Lubin722357-28
12Puszcza Niepolomice71428807
13Motor Lublin613258-36
14Radomiak Radom62041014-46
15Korona Kielce713349-56
16Lechia GdanskGdansk7124815-75
17Slask Wroclaw6042610-44
18Stal Mielec711549-54
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


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