Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia2 - 0Stal Mielec
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Stal Mielec.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Panevezys
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Stal Mielec |
60.39% ( -0.31) | 21.71% ( 0.21) | 17.9% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.72) | 45.26% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.69) | 67.6% ( 0.7) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.33) | 14.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.65) | 42.58% ( 0.65) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.3) | 38.93% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.35% ( -0.28) | 75.65% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
Jagiellonia Bialystok 60.39%
Stal Mielec 17.9%
Draw 21.7%
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 60.39% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.9% |
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Nov 3, 2023 7.30pm
Form Guide
