Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Jagiellonia Bialystok in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Jagiellonia Bialystok.