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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Aukstaitijos stadionas
HJK logo

Panevezys
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Veliulis (17'), Gorobsov (65' pen.), Mbo (67')
Rasimavicius (57'), Dieng (58'), Mbo (88'), Gorobsov (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kanellopoulos (55'), Lyons-Foster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Panevezys and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panevezys

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Last Game: Panevezys 1-1 H. Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, July 6 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
29.32% (-0.105 -0.11)27.25% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)43.42% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.18% (0.165 0.16)56.82% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.25% (0.133 0.13)77.75% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Panevezys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)71.48% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (0.161 0.16)25.95% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04% (0.217 0.22)60.96% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Panevezys 29.32%
    HJK Helsinki 43.42%
    Draw 27.25%
PanevezysDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 43.42%

How you voted: Panevezys vs HJK Helsinki

Panevezys
16.9%
Draw
11.9%
HJK Helsinki
71.2%
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