Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.