Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oulu in this match.