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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 8
May 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Ilves

Plange (66')
Keskinen (21'), Hostikka (76'), Nunoo Sarpei (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Haarala (24' pen.)
Arifi (45'), Pikkarainen (51'), Haarala (65'), Popovits (90+3')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Gnistan
Wednesday, May 22 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Ilves 3-0 Inter Turku
Wednesday, May 22 at 6pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves
41.57% (0.177 0.18)25.77% (0.089000000000002 0.09)32.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.459 -0.46)49.76% (0.452 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.411 -0.41)71.77% (0.40400000000001 0.4)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.114 -0.11)23.73% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (-0.161 -0.16)57.86% (0.154 0.15)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.399 -0.4)28.79% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.5 -0.5)64.63% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 41.57%
    Ilves 32.66%
    Draw 25.76%
HJK HelsinkiDrawIlves
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Ilves

HJK Helsinki
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ilves
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Ilves
Tenho (53')
Tenho (71')

Mohammed (34'), Haarala (37'), Katz (54'), Traore (89')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Ilves
1-1
HJK Helsinki
Ngor (48')
Ala-Myllymaki (64'), Larsson (68'), Aspegren (88'), Katz (88'), Ngor (90+2')
Radulovic (90+4')
Olusanya (39'), Toivio (85'), Keskinen (90+5')
Jul 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 15
Ilves
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Larsson (35')
Radulovic (72'), Hoskonen (88')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Jair (76', 82')
Boujellab (59')
Vidjeskog (18')
Katz (45+1'), Leislahti (68')
Oct 16, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 2
Ilves
2-3
HJK Helsinki
Carlos Murillo (2' og.), Ollila (83')
Siira (37'), Manga (47'), Loa Loa (90+3')
Moren (14'), Jair (45+3', 47')
rhs 2.0


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