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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 7
May 17, 2024 at 4pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 2
VPS

Plange (90+1')
Lingman (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Borchers (29' pen.), Raisanen (66')
Niemi (90+4'), Nuorela (90'), Niemi (90+4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Turku 0-1 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: KuPS 2-1 VPS
Friday, May 10 at 4.15pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawVaasan Palloseura
54.96% (0.372 0.37)23.6% (0.093 0.09)21.45% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.924 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (-0.918 -0.92)48.43% (0.916 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.842 -0.84)70.56% (0.84100000000001 0.84)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)17.49% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01% (-0.349 -0.35)47.98% (0.348 0.35)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.965 -0.97)36.98% (0.965 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.976 -0.98)73.76% (0.976 0.98)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 54.95%
    Vaasan Palloseura 21.45%
    Draw 23.59%
HJK HelsinkiDrawVaasan Palloseura
1-0 @ 11.27% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.241 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.075 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 21.45%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
VPS
3-2
HJK Helsinki
Bashkirov (2'), Godly Michael (14', 90+4')
Ahiabu (57')
Bande (40'), Radulovic (78')
Apr 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
HJK Helsinki
4-0
VPS
Radulovic (20', 73'), Ollila (32'), Meriluoto (81')
Apr 15, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
VPS
0-1
HJK Helsinki
Bashkirov (82' og.)
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
HJK Helsinki
3-1
VPS
Yli-Kokko (19'), Hoskonen (62'), Abubakari (80')
Hazard (88')
Multanen (39')
Alanko (58'), Hudd (85'), Niemi (90+2')
Apr 18, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 3
VPS
0-1
HJK Helsinki

Ahiabu (50'), Yengi (60'), Vahtera (82')
Tanaka (79')