Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.