Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.