Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Honka had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vaasan Palloseura in this match.