Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.