Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Oct 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Savon Sanomat Areena

KuPS
3 - 1
Honka

Koski (14' og.), Tuominen (21'), Vidjeskog (48' pen.)
Vidjeskog (24'), Bispo (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Eremenko (42')
Jansen (29'), Wurtz (35'), Hernandez (64')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KuPS and Honka.

Form, Standings, Stats

KuPS

All competitions
Last Game: KuPS 1-1 SJK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Honka

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Honka
Wednesday, September 27 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Honka had a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.

Result
KuPSDrawHonka
45.56% (-0.347 -0.35)27.4% (0.171 0.17)27.04% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)58.42% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98% (-0.396 -0.4)79.02% (0.398 0.4)
KuPS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.399 -0.4)25.6% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.546 -0.55)60.48% (0.548 0.55)
Honka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.128 -0.13)37.45% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.128 -0.13)74.23% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    KuPS 45.56%
    Honka 27.04%
    Draw 27.4%
KuPSDrawHonka
1-0 @ 13.06% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.59% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.04%

Head to Head
May 13, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 6
Honka
0-1
KuPS

Alegria (12'), Ortiz (45+1'), Hernandez (82')
Nissila (52')
Vidjeskog (55'), Bispo (55'), Cisse (56'), Oksanen (71'), Antwi (90')
Apr 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
KuPS
0-1
Honka
Koskinen (67')
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 2
KuPS
3-2
Honka
Ikaunieks (19', 44'), Bispo (63')
Sadiku (37' pen.), Bagaric (83' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 17
KuPS
1-1
Honka
Vidjeskog (19')
Popovits (61'), Bispo (70'), Ricardo (78'), Tomas (82')
Sadiku (58')
Krebs (60'), Arko-Mensah (67'), Bagaric (89')
Jun 18, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 10
Honka
2-0
KuPS
Sadiku (11'), Modesto (15')
Sadiku (62'), Tammilehto (90+1')

Antwi (13'), Haarala (80'), Kreidl (90')
Carrillo (73')