Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.