Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.