Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.