Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Ilves	Draw	Gnistan
45.77% ( -0.07)	26.05% ( 0.18)	28.18% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

-0.76)

52.76% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-0.65)

74.39% (

0.66)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

-0.35)

23.01% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.52)

56.81% (

0.53)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.51% (

-0.48)

33.49% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.88% (

-0.53)

70.12% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Ilves 45.77%

Gnistan 28.18%

Draw 26.05%

Ilves	Draw	Gnistan
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.77%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.18%