Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Djair Parfitt-Williams 18' goal
  • Santeri Haarala 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jelle van der Heyden 14'
  • goal Mikko Sumusalo 26'

Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 22, 2023 4.00pm
KTP 0 - 3 Ilves
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Santeri Haarala

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 22, 2023 4.30pm
Mariehamn 2 - 1 Haka
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Ariel Ngueukam

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result

Ilves 45.32% (-0.50)
Draw 25.16% (+0.03)
IFK Mariehamn 29.52% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.59% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 48.4% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 29.46% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70.54% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.3% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 85.7% (-0.08)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5 78.63% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 21.37% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 45.65% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 54.35% (+0.27)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 69.77% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 30.23% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 33.6% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 66.4% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Ilves 45.32%
Draw 25.15%
IFK Mariehamn 29.52%
Ilves
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 45.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.15%
IFK Mariehamn
0-1 @ 7.73% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.13% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 4.62% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 29.52%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Jul 15, 2023 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tammelan Stadion
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Apr 5, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklöf Holding Arena
  • Ariel Ngueukam 36' goal
  • goal Petteri Pennanen 54'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2022 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Tammelan Stadion
  • Ariel Ngueukam 12' goal
  • Tuomas Ollila 52' goal
  • goal John Owoeri 39'
  • goal Yanga Baliso 54'
  • goal Cledson 86'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 19
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 4
FT
  • Cledson 11' yellowcard
  • Jiri Nissinen 15' yellowcard
  • John Owoeri 28' goal
  • Patrik Raitanen 45' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Abubakari 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tuomas Ollila 2'
  • goal Eric Oteng 5'
  • yellowcard Tabi Manga 17'
  • goal Ariel Ngueukam 33'
  • goal Petteri Pennanen 44'
  • yellowcard Tatu Miettunen 64'
  • goal Oiva Jukkola 76'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 15, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Petteri Pennanen 70' yellowcard
  • Petteri Pennanen 83' goal
  • yellowcard Yanga Baliso 36'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2021 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joona Veteli 1' goal
  • Tuure Siira 64' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Ollila 69' goal
  • Patrick Loa Loa 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cledson 13'
  • yellowcard Yanga Baliso 35'
  • yellowcard Robin Buwalda 72'
  • yellowcard Aapo Maenpaa 77'