Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Raatin stadion

Oulu
3 - 2
Mariehamn

Karjalainen (24'), Coffey (35'), Breitenmoser (79')
Coffey (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tehe Olawale (14'), Hopcutt (63')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Oulu and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oulu

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Turku 2-1 Oulu
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 1-2 VPS
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.

Result
OuluDrawIFK Mariehamn
40.65% (0.154 0.15)25.95% (0.073 0.07)33.39% (-0.229 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (-0.366 -0.37)50.37% (0.363 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.323 -0.32)72.3% (0.321 0.32)
Oulu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)24.47% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08% (-0.119 -0.12)58.91% (0.116 0.12)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)28.61% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.406 -0.41)64.41% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Oulu 40.65%
    IFK Mariehamn 33.4%
    Draw 25.95%
OuluDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.4%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mariehamn
1-2
Oulu
Sumusalo (23')
Henriksson (39'), Cledson (42'), Ngueukam (45+3'), Sumusalo (59'), Coubronne (87')
Cledson (45+2')
Karjalainen (41' pen.), Morais (54')
Daoussi (13'), Morais (85')
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Oulu
3-2
Mariehamn
Coffey (44', 53'), Liimatta (45+1')
Sumusalo (81'), Sid (85')
Ngueukam (46'), Ngamba (66')
Sep 28, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mariehamn
2-4
Oulu
Sjoroos (77'), Owoeri (80' pen.)
Lopez (9', 69'), Jokelainen (66'), Karjalainen (90+5')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Oulu
3-1
Mariehamn
Jokelainen (24'), Sakho (35'), Anini Jr (72')
Jokelainen (51'), Liimatta (55')
Cledson (8')
Owoeri (45+2'), Mensah (51'), Coubronne (66'), Fillion (90+3')
Owoeri (90+4')
Apr 24, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mariehamn
2-1
Oulu
Abubakari (14'), Sumusalo (61')
Cledson (26'), Abubakari (45+1')
Kabashi (45+4')
Selander (60')