Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.