Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for KTP had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a KTP win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.