Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.