Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.