Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.