Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.