Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.