Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for KTP had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.