Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.