Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for KTP had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.