Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ilves in this match.