Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.