Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.

Result
Gnistan	Draw	Haka
32.97% ( 0.3)	26.74% ( 0.16)	40.28% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

-0.59)

53.71% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

-0.5)

75.19% (

0.49)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0.09)

30.54% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-0.11)

66.77% (

0.11)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.52)

26.18% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

-0.7)

61.26% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Gnistan 32.97%

Haka 40.27%

Draw 26.74%

Gnistan	Draw	Haka
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.97%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.27%