Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Jonas Enkerud 45' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 52' yellowcard
  • Juhani Ojala 64' yellowcard
  • David Agbo 70' yellowcard
  • David Agbo 73' yellowcard
  • goal Evangelos Patoulidis 2'
  • goal Marko Bacanin 23'
  • yellowcard Evangelos Patoulidis 45'+1'
  • goal Imani Lanquedoc 71'

Gnistan vs Haka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
Gnistan 0 - 1 SJK
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Joakim Latonen

Haka

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 1.00pm
Haka 1 - 1 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Evangelos Patoulidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.

Result

Gnistan 32.97% (+0.31)
Draw 26.74% (+0.17)
Haka 40.28% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.27% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.29% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 53.71% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 24.8% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 75.19% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 11.23% (-0.32)
Under 4.5 88.76% (+0.32)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 69.45% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.54% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.23% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.77% (+0.11)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5 73.82% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 26.18% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 61.26% (+0.70)

Score analysis

Gnistan 32.97%
Draw 26.74%
Haka 40.27%
Gnistan
1-0 @ 9.48% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 7.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.62% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.22% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.74%
Haka
0-1 @ 10.71% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.27%