Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.