Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 19
May 22, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Lucas Lingman 13' goal
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 27'
  • yellowcard Joakim Latonen 29'
  • yellowcard Jukka Raitala 60'
  • yellowcard Teemu Penninkangas 65'
  • yellowcard David Agbo 68'
  • redcard David Agbo 76'

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 17, 2024 4.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 2 VPS
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Luke Plange

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 19, 2024 2.00pm
Gnistan 0 - 0 KuPS
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Joakim Latonen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result

HJK Helsinki 52.97% (+0.18)
Draw 22.69% (-0.07)
Gnistan 24.34% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.72% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.73% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 41.27% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 36.33% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.67% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 19.27% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 80.73% (-0.13)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 84.38% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 15.61% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 55.39% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 44.61% (-0.23)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 69.58% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.42% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.62% (+0.01)

Score analysis

HJK Helsinki 52.97%
Draw 22.68%
Gnistan 24.34%
HJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.82% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.67% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 52.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.68%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 24.34%