Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.