Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.