Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.