Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
Gnistan	Draw	HJK Helsinki
36.88% ( 0.1)	25.17% ( 0.01)	37.95% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.14% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

-0.06)

46.46% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

-0.06)

68.74% (

0.06)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.3% (

0.03)

24.7% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.76% (

0.04)

59.24% (

-0.04)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.09)

24.12% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58% (

-0.13)

58.42% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Gnistan 36.88%

HJK Helsinki 37.95%

Draw 25.17%

Gnistan	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.88%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.95%