Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'

IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 17, 2024 4.00pm
Oulu 1 - 1 Mariehamn
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Adam Larsson

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
May 22, 2024 4.00pm
HJK Helsinki 1 - 0 Gnistan
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Joakim Latonen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

IFK Mariehamn 36.02% (-0.50)
Draw 24.85% (-0.06)
Gnistan 39.14% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.24% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.99% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 45.01% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 32.64% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 67.36% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 16.53% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 83.46% (-0.14)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 75.49% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 24.51% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 41.03% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 58.97% (+0.27)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 22.86% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 43.41% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 56.59% (-0.54)

Score analysis

IFK Mariehamn 36.02%
Draw 24.84%
Gnistan 39.14%
IFK Mariehamn
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 36.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
Gnistan
1-2 @ 8.58% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 8.27% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.1% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.22% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.56% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.14%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 29, 2023 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 40' goal
  • Timi Lahti 49' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hopcutt 72' goal
  • Alvaro Ngamba 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Medo 48'
  • yellowcard Hannes Woivalin 51'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 54'
  • redcard Armend Kabashi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Hannes Woivalin 34' yellowcard
  • Sampo Ala-Iso 53' yellowcard
  • Otso Linnas 59' yellowcard