Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.